How to win blackjack even if you don’t count cards: useful tips for playersNovember 7, 2018 | frank | Leave a comment
If you play blackjack for a long time, then you probably know something about card counting. At least you heard about it.
But did you know that there are other ways to beat the casino?
Ace tracking and prediction
Some advanced methods include separate aces counting. At the same time, tracking them has nothing to do with card counting.
Aces are the most important cards in blackjack. When you have an ace, you have 4 chances out of 13 to get natural blackjack. Due to the fact that payments for it are more than 1: 1, the advantage of the institution decreases markedly. The value of aces is also in the fact that they can be estimated at one or 11 points. This allows you in many cases to improve your chances of not getting bust. Any player with an ace has an advantage over the place. It follows that you need to be able to calculate the probability of an ace to fall out and, depending on this, to increase the stakes.
Ace tracking is a method for calculating this probability. The dealer shuffles one or more decks. Cards are shuffled, but, as a rule, not enough to settle down completely in a random order. To some extent, the order is maintained that was on the tray for discarding cards. Even automatic mixing tools do not provide sufficient randomization of cards.
This means the following: if you know several cards that were put on the dump tray immediately after the ace, you can predict when it will appear.
This technique is not perfect, but you will learn how to use it by gaining experience. Let not always, but at least from time to time it will give you an advantage.
The meaning of this technique is that you must memorize several cards that are sent to the dumping tray immediately after the ace. After mixing in the process of distribution, you can see them. Most likely, between them there will be one or several other cards. It is likely that an ace will be dealt soon.
If you see during the distribution of three cards that were on top of the ace, and between them there are two other cards, then we can assume that two cards after these three will be dealt an ace. Most players using this method take note of two or three cards that are easier to remember.
Here is a simple example.
You are participating in a game with two decks. The ace of spades was placed in the tray, and on it – the club king, the king of diamonds and another club king. After mixing, you see the club king, then the other two cards, the king of diamonds, then two more cards, and finally, the second club king. Most likely, after the next two cards, an ace of spades will be dealt. The example is extremely simplified, but sometimes the process of tracking is really so easy.
Understanding how everything works, you get an idea of what the probability of a particular card falling out after being mixed by a dealer or even automatic devices. Although rare, there are dealers who have a very predictable, monotonous manner of shuffling. As a result, from time to time those maps that you track will appear with the same frequency.
Tracking the same cards put in the tray after the ace is easy. But you can also learn to anticipate the appearance of random cards. If you can remember the suit, order and dignity of the card, then it will be easy for you to track, for example, the following sequence: ace, club deuce, seven of hearts, jack of diamonds.
It is probably not easy for a beginner to track every ace, but a sufficiently experienced person can do it at least partially. There are 24 aces in six decks, and it is difficult but interesting to keep them under constant control.
Start with aces of the same suit – for example, spades or hearts. Train until you learn how to track them all. Then start working with two suits. Continue until you feel that you cannot achieve more. Even if your limit is one or two suits, you still have an advantage.
As is the case with card counting, you can train and hone your skills at home. To do this, you need six decks and a tray. Start with one deck. When playing, pay attention to how the dealer shuffles the cards, and try to repeat his style. Having achieved good results with one deck, add the second one. Increase the number of decks until you learn to work with aces of the same suit. Then start tracking two suits and so on.
Such classes take a lot of time, but when you hone your skills enough and prove to yourself that you have learned, then at some point during the game you will realize that everything works out automatically. Players who consider cards claim to act without thinking and can do something else. Ace tracking can be brought to the same level.
Even if you have to take a break and not play for a few weeks or months, you will quickly regain your skills by practicing a little and remembering what you have learned. If a group of several aces hit the tray, they must be kept under control. Three aces or more that came together after mixing are found quite easily. The tactics of tracking them becomes much more effective when you are not alone, but in a team. Being at the same table and knowing that an ace is coming soon, you have a lot more chances to get it.
Everything is based on ordinary math
It will help you overcome the difficulties of the game. Be vigilant enough, and the chances to accurately track an ace will be 50/50. If two members of the team play against the dealer, then one of them will get hold of an ace in two cases out of three. With the participation of three team members in the game, the odds increase to 75%.
In reality, the probability is even higher than 75%, since it is possible to predict the presence of an ace at a time when not six or seven cards are left before it, but less. Three people receive six cards before asking for an extra. And if you are attentive enough, then one of you will definitely get an ace.
It happens that an ace should appear, but it does not. Most likely, he went to the dealer. Of course, it would be more pleasant if he came to one of you, but still it is valuable information. If the dealer shows ten and there is a high probability that there is an ace under it, you can hedge and reduce your losses.